Monday, September 22, 2008

2008-2009 Fantasy Basketball Rotoworld Experts draft results

I just completed a 12-team standard 8-category roto draft. We start 2 C, 4 F, and 4 G each week. I think I did fairly well, though with a one-minute time limit, I missed out on some of my targeted picks. I need to bigger stars next to their names on my cheat sheet next time!

Round Team Player Pos Team Pick Time
R1 P1 Eric Karabell James, LeBron F CLE 2m 18s
R1 P2 Matt Stroup Paul, Chris G NO 10s
R1 P3 Dave Gawron Bryant, Kobe G LAL 20s
R1 P4 Emry Downinghall Stoudemire, Amare C PHO 41s
R1 P5 Sergio Gonzalez Howard, Dwight C ORL 6s
R1 P6 Scott Morrow Butler, Caron F WAS 14s
R1 P7 Ryan Knaus Marion, Shawn F MIA 9s
R1 P8 Geoffrey Stein Nowitzki, Dirk F DAL 15s
R1 P9 Steve Alexander Garnett, Kevin F BOS 17s
R1 P10 David Klyce Wade, Dwyane G MIA 16s
R1 P11 Matt Buser Brand, Elton F PHI 20s
R1 P12 Brian McKitish Nash, Steve G PHO 6s

Kobe was a no-brainer here. Not any huge surprises in this round.

R2 P1 Brian McKitish Smith, Josh F ATL 16s
R2 P2 Matt Buser Davis, Baron G LAC 40s
R2 P3 David Klyce Williams, Deron G UTA 25s
R2 P4 Steve Alexander Camby, Marcus C LAC 9s
R2 P5 Geoffrey Stein Granger, Danny F IND 30s
R2 P6 Ryan Knaus Jefferson, Al F MIN 24s
R2 P7 Scott Morrow Pierce, Paul F BOS 13s
R2 P8 Sergio Gonzalez Iverson, Allen G DEN 29s
R2 P9 Emry Downinghall Bosh, Chris F TOR 59s
R2 P10 Dave Gawron Boozer, Carlos F UTA 1m 9s
R2 P11 Matt Stroup Gay, Rudy F MEM 6s
R2 P12 Eric Karabell Duncan, Tim F SAN 11s

I should've taken Duncn here for the blocks or maybe gay for the all-around talent. I definitely wanted solid points and rebounds here though, and Boozer and Deron are working like Malone and Stockton used to. We'll see if Baron, Camby, Jefferson, and Bosh can make it through the season healthy.

R3 P1 Eric Karabell Johnson, Joe G ATL 7s
R3 P2 Matt Stroup Iguodala, Andre G PHI 41s
R3 P3 Dave Gawron Gasol, Pau C LAL 1m 8s
R3 P4 Emry Downinghall Ginobili, Manu G SAN 29s
R3 P5 Sergio Gonzalez Anthony, Carmelo F DEN 56s
R3 P6 Scott Morrow Lewis, Rashard F ORL 7s
R3 P7 Ryan Knaus Calderon, Jose G TOR 21s

Comment Calderon with the 37th pick...even in a no-TO league, that`s pretty sweet.
R3 P8 Geoffrey Stein Martin, Kevin G SAC 7s
R3 P9 Steve Alexander Billups, Chauncey G DET 1m 27s
R3 P10 David Klyce Ming, Yao C HOU 22s
R3 P11 Matt Buser Artest, Ron F SAC 32s
R3 P12 Brian McKitish Carter, Vince G NJ 9s

Manu and Yao are the big injury risks here, and this could be the year Vinsanity totally mails it in. Gasol's C/F eligibility is really nice, though he gives me two Lakers in my first three picks.

R4 P1 Brian McKitish West, David F NO 5s
R4 P2 Matt Buser Richardson, Jason G CHR 34s
R4 P3 David Klyce Wallace, Gerald F CHR 21s
R4 P4 Steve Alexander Kidd, Jason G DAL 17s
R4 P5 Geoffrey Stein Jamison, Antawn F WAS 9s
R4 P6 Ryan Knaus Howard, Josh F DAL 20s
R4 P7 Scott Morrow Aldridge, LaMarcus C POR 1m 25s
R4 P8 Sergio Gonzalez Roy, Brandon G POR 48s
R4 P9 Emry Downinghall Jefferson, Richard F MIL 4m 11s
R4 P10 Dave Gawron McGrady, Tracy G HOU
R4 P11 Matt Stroup Durant, Kevin G SEA 12s
R4 P12 Eric Karabell Parker, Tony G SAN 10s

Yeah. This was one of my mistakes. I should've taken Durant. I was actually hoping for Roy, in the first place. Maybe T-Mac will stay healthy with Artest around and less pressure to do it all himself.

R5 P1 Eric Karabell Williams, Mo G MIL 3s
R5 P2 Matt Stroup Bynum, Andrew C LAL 1m 13s
R5 P3 Dave Gawron Bogut, Andrew C MIL 1m 10s
R5 P4 Emry Downinghall Biedrins, Andris C GS 38s
R5 P5 Sergio Gonzalez Chandler, Tyson C NO 52s
R5 P6 Scott Morrow Redd, Michael G MIL 57s
R5 P7 Ryan Knaus Kaman, Chris C LAC 34s
R5 P8 Geoffrey Stein Wallace, Rasheed C DET 13s
R5 P9 Steve Alexander Dalembert, Samuel C PHI 26s
R5 P10 David Klyce Turkoglu, Hedo F ORL 47s
R5 P11 Matt Buser Dunleavy, Mike G IND 38s
R5 P12 Brian McKitish Okafor, Emeka F CHR 7s

Centers. I wanted Bynum or Bogut, so I'm happy here. Would have accepted Chandler, too.

R6 P1 Brian McKitish Miller, Andre G PHI 6s
R6 P2 Matt Buser Miller, Mike F MIN 36s
R6 P3 David Klyce Horford, Al F ATL 6s
R6 P4 Steve Alexander Jackson, Stephen G GS 19s
R6 P5 Geoffrey Stein Ford, T.J G IND 5s
R6 P6 Ryan Knaus Harris, Devin G NJ 7s

Comment Harris with the 81st pick. He`s primed for a huge season.
R6 P7 Scott Morrow Odom, Lamar F LAL 33s
R6 P8 Sergio Gonzalez O'Neal, Jermaine F TOR 45s
R6 P9 Emry Downinghall Allen, Ray G BOS 30s
R6 P10 Dave Gawron Crawford, Jamal G NY 4m 45s
R6 P11 Matt Stroup Miller, Brad C SAC
R6 P12 Eric Karabell Okur, Mehmet C UTA 5s

Miller time. I saw a chance to get some threes and went for it. On second thought, I could have taken Okur and used Gasol at F as my back-up center. Crawford should blow up (in a good way) this year anyway, so I can't complain.

R7 P1 Eric Karabell Oden, Greg C POR 2s
R7 P2 Matt Stroup Foye, Randy G MIN 52s
R7 P3 Dave Gawron Bibby, Mike G SAC 3m 25s
R7 P4 Emry Downinghall Rondo, Rajon G BOS 23s
R7 P5 Sergio Gonzalez Maggette, Corey F GS 1m 4s
R7 P6 Scott Morrow Udrih, Beno G SAC 18s
R7 P7 Ryan Knaus Kirilenko, Andrei F UTA 37s
R7 P8 Geoffrey Stein Felton, Raymond G CHR 13s
R7 P9 Steve Alexander Salmons, John F SAC 20s
R7 P10 David Klyce Terry, Jason G DAL 1m 5s
R7 P11 Matt Buser Hinrich, Kirk G CHI 50s
R7 P12 Brian McKitish Beasley, Michael F MIA 22s

I shoul have taken Foye over Crawford, now that I think of it. I shored up my assists with bibby anyway. I considered Felton, but Bibby has the experience. Felton could improve upon last year, but I didn't want a question mark here.

R8 P1 Brian McKitish Barbosa, Leandro G PHO 23s
R8 P2 Matt Buser Randolph, Zach F NY 47s
R8 P3 David Klyce Garcia, Francisco G SAC 10s
R8 P4 Steve Alexander Thornton, Al F LAC 1m 6s
R8 P5 Geoffrey Stein Ilgauskas, Zydrunas C CLE 5s
R8 P6 Ryan Knaus Deng, Luol F CHI 29s
R8 P7 Scott Morrow Sessions, Ramon G MIL 21s
R8 P8 Sergio Gonzalez Ellis, Monta G GS 13s
R8 P9 Emry Downinghall Battier, Shane F HOU 8s
R8 P10 Dave Gawron Green, Jeff F SEA 1m 23s
R8 P11 Matt Stroup Villanueva, Charlie F MIL 8s
R8 P12 Eric Karabell Lee, David F NY 33s

Speaking of question marks, this round is full of them. I wanted a forward here. Garcia, Thornton, and Deng were my targets. I got stuck with Green. Hopefully he'll be useful to me in his 4-game weeks, at least.

R9 P1 Eric Karabell Arenas, Gilbert G WAS 28s
R9 P2 Matt Stroup Williams, Marvin F ATL 35s
R9 P3 Dave Gawron Conley Jr., Mike G MEM 37s
R9 P4 Emry Downinghall Smith, J.R G DEN 34s
R9 P5 Sergio Gonzalez Stojakovic, Peja G NO 50s
R9 P6 Scott Morrow Moon, Jamario F TOR 50s
R9 P7 Ryan Knaus Stuckey, Rodney G DET 4s

Comment The Pistons sixth starter is a great value pick.
R9 P8 Geoffrey Stein Love, Kevin F MIN 6s
R9 P9 Steve Alexander Harrington, Al F GS 34s
R9 P10 David Klyce Gordon, Ben G CHI 23s
R9 P11 Matt Buser Murphy, Troy F IND 7s
R9 P12 Brian McKitish Hamilton, Richard G DET 46s

Conley should be pretty secure in his starting point guard job this season, so I had to take him here. I like Peja for his threes and Rip for his consistency, otherwise.

R10 P1 Brian McKitish Gooden, Drew F CLE 13s
R10 P2 Matt Buser Hilario, Nene F DEN 16s
R10 P3 David Klyce Martin, Kenyon F DEN 19s
R10 P4 Steve Alexander Barnes, Matt F GS 6s
R10 P5 Geoffrey Stein Williams, Marcus G GS 7s
R10 P6 Ryan Knaus Mayo, O.J. G MEM 20s
R10 P7 Scott Morrow Noah, Joakim F CHI 57s
R10 P8 Sergio Gonzalez Warrick, Hakim F MEM 6s
R10 P9 Emry Downinghall O'Neal, Shaquille C PHO 16s
R10 P10 Dave Gawron Young, Thaddeus F PHI 19s
R10 P11 Matt Stroup Rose, Derrick G CHI 48s
R10 P12 Eric Karabell Davis, Ricky G LAC 1m 3s

Martin should start the season well at least without Camby around, but will his body hold up? Marcus Williams was the other point guard I was considering along with Conley. I wanted Warrick but settled for Young. Again, he can certainly help in his 4-game weeks.

R11 P1 Eric Karabell Scola, Luis F HOU 16s
R11 P2 Matt Stroup Maxiell, Jason F DET 7s
R11 P3 Dave Gawron Prince, Tayshaun F DET 16s
R11 P4 Emry Downinghall Korver, Kyle F PHI 1m 7s
R11 P5 Sergio Gonzalez Fernandez, Rudy G POR 7s
R11 P6 Scott Morrow Nelson, Jameer G ORL 3s
R11 P7 Ryan Knaus Bayless, Jerryd G POR 45s
R11 P8 Geoffrey Stein Diaw, Boris F PHO 31s
R11 P9 Steve Alexander Alston, Rafer G HOU 15s
R11 P10 David Klyce Haywood, Brendan C WAS 25s
R11 P11 Matt Buser Parker, Anthony G TOR 56s
R11 P12 Brian McKitish Pietrus, Mickael F ORL 4s

Prince is a steady, boring F I can stick in there every week. Not bad grabbing one of those in Round 11. Fernandez, Nelson, and Alston aren't bad for assist potential at this point.

R12 P1 Brian McKitish Gasol, Marc C LAL 9s
R12 P2 Matt Buser Collison, Nick C SEA 32s
R12 P3 David Klyce Kleiza, Linas G DEN 55s
R12 P4 Steve Alexander Gordon, Eric G LAC 28s
R12 P5 Geoffrey Stein Perkins, Kendrick C BOS 14s
R12 P6 Ryan Knaus Gomes, Ryan F MIN 32s
R12 P7 Scott Morrow Williams, Sean C NJ 32s
R12 P8 Sergio Gonzalez Gallinari, Danilo F NY 44s
R12 P9 Emry Downinghall Nocioni, Andres F CHI 6s
R12 P10 Dave Gawron Jianlian, Yi F NJ 17s
R12 P11 Matt Stroup Ridnour, Luke G SEA 20s
R12 P12 Eric Karabell Bargnani, Andrea F TOR 1m 25s

I was looking at Collison or Gomes, but I'll settle for Yi here. Ridnour is a decent gamble at this point.

R13 P1 Eric Karabell Jack, Jarrett G POR 1m 20s
R13 P2 Matt Stroup Chandler, Wilson F NY 3s
R13 P3 Dave Gawron Watson, Earl G SEA 49s
R13 P4 Emry Downinghall West, Delonte G SEA 27s
R13 P5 Sergio Gonzalez Duhon, Chris G NY 1m 3s
R13 P6 Scott Morrow Johnson, Amir F DET 1m 25s
R13 P7 Ryan Knaus Lopez, Brook C NJ 15s
R13 P8 Geoffrey Stein Simmons, Bobby F NJ 5s
R13 P9 Steve Alexander Outlaw, Travis F POR 14s
R13 P10 David Klyce Brewer, Ronnie G UTA 11s
R13 P11 Matt Buser McCants, Rashad G MIN 31s
R13 P12 Brian McKitish Westbrook, Russell G SEA 7s

I should have picked Duhon here. Simmons or Outlaw would have been good, too. Dummy.

R14 P1 Brian McKitish Thomas, Tyrus F CHI 3s
R14 P2 Matt Buser Hawes, Spencer C SAC 49s
R14 P3 David Klyce Wilcox, Chris F SEA 5s
R14 P4 Steve Alexander Bell, Raja G PHO 1m 3s
R14 P5 Geoffrey Stein Williams, Louis G PHI 6s
R14 P6 Ryan Knaus Augustin, D.J. G CHR 10s
R14 P7 Scott Morrow Chalmers, Lionel G FA 55s
R14 P8 Sergio Gonzalez Tinsley, Jamaal G IND 10s
R14 P9 Emry Downinghall Blatche, Andray C WAS 17s
R14 P10 Dave Gawron Curry, Eddy C NY 7s
R14 P11 Matt Stroup Boone, Josh F NJ 10s
R14 P12 Eric Karabell Dampier, Erick C DAL 16s

Curry is my emergency center and probably my first player dopped for a free agent. Most of these players will be dropped for free agents.

R15 P1 Eric Karabell McDyess, Antonio F DET 24s
R15 P2 Matt Stroup Brewer, Corey F MIN 1m 17s
R15 P3 Dave Gawron Marbury, Stephon G NY 38s
R15 P4 Emry Downinghall Haslem, Udonis F MIA 23s
R15 P5 Sergio Gonzalez Azubuike, Kelenna G HOU 42s
R15 P6 Scott Morrow Millsap, Paul F UTA 18s
R15 P7 Ryan Knaus Turiaf, Ronny F LAL 37s
R15 P8 Geoffrey Stein Stevenson, DeShawn G WAS 9s
R15 P9 Steve Alexander Moore, Mikki F SAC 7s
R15 P10 David Klyce Lowry, Kyle G MEM Predrafted
R15 P11 Matt Buser Posey, James F NO 5s
R15 P12 Brian McKitish Wallace, Ben C CLE AutoSelect

Again, free agent fodder. We'll see if Marbury can latch on with a team and grab a starting point guard job. Miami would be nice.

Labels:

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Initial QB rankings for 2008

1 Tom Brady NE (Bye: 4)
2 Peyton Manning IND (Bye: 4)
3 Tony Romo DAL (Bye: 10)
4 Drew Brees NO (Bye: 9)
5 Carson Palmer CIN (Bye: 8)

The above quarterbacks are all likely to go in the first four rounds. Drafting a quarterback in the first four rounds is never a good idea in my book. Let them go.

6 Derek Anderson CLE (Bye: 5)
7 Ben Roethlisberger PIT (Bye: 6)

You should be able to get Derek or Ben in Round 5 or 6. That's a decent spot to grab your starting QB.

8 Donovan McNabb PHI (Bye: 7)
9 Matt Hasselbeck SEA (Bye: 4)
10 Jay Cutler DEN (Bye: 8)
11 Marc Bulger STL (Bye: 5)
12 Eli Manning NYG (Bye: 4)
13 David Garrard JAC (Bye: 7)
14 Jake Delhomme CAR (Bye: 9)

If you miss Derek and Ben, you'll want to grab two of the above somewhere between Rounds 7 and 10.

15 Matt Schaub HOU (Bye: 8)
16 Jon Kitna DET (Bye: 4)
17 Jason Campbell WAS (Bye: 10)
18 Aaron Rodgers GB (Bye: 8)

If you need to sneak one of the above into your platoon, that would also be acceptable.

19 Philip Rivers SD (Bye: 9)
20 Jeff Garcia TB (Bye: 10)
21 JaMarcus Russell OAK (Bye: 5)
22 Vince Young TEN (Bye: 6)
23 Kurt Warner ARI (Bye: 7)
24 Matt Leinart ARI (Bye: 7)
25 Trent Edwards BUF (Bye: 6)
26 Tarvaris Jackson MIN (Bye: 8)
27 Rex Grossman CHI (Bye: 8)
28 Brodie Croyle KC (Bye: 6)

Any of the above are decent as your QB3, but you wouldn't want to depend on them as anything more.

29 Matt Ryan ATL (Bye: 7)
30 Alex Smith SF (Bye: 9)
31 Kellen Clemens NYJ (Bye: 5)
32 Chad Pennington NYJ (Bye: 5)
33 Josh McCown MIA (Bye: 4)
34 Kyle Boller BAL (Bye: 10)
35 Shaun Hill SF (Bye: 9)
36 Chris Redman ATL (Bye: 7)
37 Joe Flacco BAL (Bye: 10)
38 Kyle Orton CHI (Bye: 8)
39 Sage Rosenfels HOU (Bye: 8)
40 Billy Volek SD (Bye: 9)

Chances are, the above won't help you this season.

Labels:

Thursday, October 25, 2007

Fantasy Basketball Draft Analysis

Well, the Ultimate Basketball Challenge expert league held it's fifth annual draft this week. It's full of a great bunch of industry folks. Here's the list:

1. Josh Whitling (ESPN)
2. Sergio Gonzalez (CBS)
3. Daniel Dobish (CBS)
4. Tom Carpenter (RotoTimes)
5. Hector Castro/David Klyce (HoopsKlyce)
6. Matt Buser (Yahoo!)
7. Steve Alexander (Rotoworld/NBC)
8. Dave Gawron (RotoCommando)
9. Tim Trout (Beckett Media)
10. Matt Lawrence (Rotoworld)
11. Jay Gleason (formerly of AuctionPlayers)
12. Keith Wayland/Antonio Delgado (KFBA)

Lineups are C-C-F-F-F-F-G-G-G-G-U-U. 5 man bench. Head2Head schedule.

Scoring:

3PT - Three Pointers Made: .08 points
AST - Assists: .17 points
BK - Blocks: .25 points
FG - Field Goals Made: .25 points
FGA - Field Goals Attempted: -.08 points
FT - Free Throws Made: .25 points
FTA - Free Throws Attempted: -.17 points
PTS - Points: .08 points
ST - Steals: .17 points
TO - Turnovers: -.17 points
TRB - Total Rebounds: .10 points

What it amounts to:

4.0+ FPPG (fantasy points per game): total studs
3.5-3.9 FPPG: stars
3.0-3.4: solid contributors
2.5-2.9: average players
2.0-2.4: end of lineup fillers
1.5-1.9: bench players

After each round, read my analysis...

Round 1
1
Seattle Whitling
Kobe Bryant (G LAL)
2
Miami Gonzalez
LeBron James (F CLE)
3
Cleveland Dobish
Dwight Howard (C ORL)
4
Detroit Carpenter
Kevin Garnett (F BOS)
5
New Jersey Castro
Gilbert Arenas (G WAS)
6
Golden State Buser
Dirk Nowitzki (F DAL)
7
Atlanta Alexander
Tim Duncan (F SA)
8
Boston Gawron
Pau Gasol (C MEM)
9
Dallas Trout
Amare Stoudemire (C PHO)
10
New York Lawrence
Steve Nash (G PHO)
11
Charlotte Gleason
Tracy McGrady (G HOU)
12
Philadelphia Wayland
Dwyane Wade (G MIA)

The scoring system attempts to mirror real life worth. Scoring is a little more important than in roto. Excessive missed shots (poor FG or FT %) and turnovers hurt. #1 was a tough call. Kobe has scored better in this system, but LeBron has the upside. That's too early for Howard. Even improvement over 06-07 won't vault him past Arenas or Dirk in this system, and certainly not past KG. Gasol is great in this system. Center eligibility, great FG%, nice assists and blocks... Wade is amazing when he plays, but do you trust him with that injury?


Round 2
13
Philadelphia Wayland
Yao Ming (C HOU)
14
Charlotte Gleason
Josh Smith (F ATL)
15
New York Lawrence
Chris Bosh (F TOR)
16
Dallas Trout
Shawn Marion (F PHO)
17
Boston Gawron
Carmelo Anthony (F DEN)
18
Atlanta Alexander
Deron Williams (G UTA)
19
Golden State Buser
Vince Carter (G NJ)
20
New Jersey Castro
Rashard Lewis (F ORL)
21
Detroit Carpenter
Paul Pierce (G BOS)
22
Cleveland Dobish
Allen Iverson (G DEN)
23
Miami Gonzalez
Carlos Boozer (F UTA)
24
Seattle Whitling
Chris Paul (G NO)

Yao was a good choice, but you do have to wonder in H2H if that big body of his will be able to make it all the way through the season. I'm too scared of Bosh's injury woes to take him in any draft. Marion's lack of turnovers is such a good trait! I thought it was a bit early for Deron Williams. Again, with the scoring counting a tad more in this league than in roto, players like Vince Carter and Rashard Lewis that can score 22+ per game get the nod. Boozer's hamstring history worries me too much.


Round 3
25
Seattle Whitling
Andre Iguodala (F PHI)
26
Miami Gonzalez
Jason Kidd (G NJ)
27
Cleveland Dobish
Baron Davis (G GS)
28
Detroit Carpenter
Caron Butler (F WAS)
29
New Jersey Castro
Al Jefferson (F MIN)
30
Golden State Buser
Gerald Wallace (F CHA)
31
Atlanta Alexander
Marcus Camby (C DEN)
32
Boston Gawron
Michael Redd (G MIL)
33
Dallas Trout
Ray Allen (G BOS)
34
New York Lawrence
Mehmet Okur (C UTA)
35
Charlotte Gleason
Luol Deng (F CHI)
36
Philadelphia Wayland
Tony Parker (G SA)

Baron Davis is too risky for me. I understand the upside of Al Jefferson, but I need to see him stay healthy for a full season before investing. Wallace throws his body around too much and will always be dinged up. I'm actually cool with Camby. He'll miss games here and there, but he's a good choice at this point in the draft. I went with Redd for his solid scoring, like Anthony in the round before. Okur's foot scares me. Deng is awesome and improving.


Round 4
37
Philadelphia Wayland
Joe Johnson (G ATL)
38
Charlotte Gleason
Andrew Bogut (C MIL)
39
New York Lawrence
Chauncey Billups (G DET)
40
Dallas Trout
Zach Randolph (F NY)
41
Boston Gawron
Emeka Okafor (C CHA)
42
Atlanta Alexander
LaMarcus Aldridge (F POR)
43
Golden State Buser
Antawn Jamison (F WAS)
44
New Jersey Castro
Jermaine O'Neal (F IND)
45
Detroit Carpenter
Kevin Durant (F SEA)
46
Cleveland Dobish
Shaquille O'Neal (C MIA)
47
Miami Gonzalez
Kirk Hinrich (G CHI)
48
Seattle Whitling
Ben Gordon (G CHI)

Centers are very valuable, since we start two, but that's too early for Bogut. Just right for Okafor, though. Maybe that's a bit early for Aldridge, but I do like him better than the totally unknown of how Durant can withstand a full season, plus the injury history of the O'Neals.


Round 5
49
Seattle Whitling
Brandon Roy (G POR)
50
Miami Gonzalez
Raymond Felton (G CHA)
51
Cleveland Dobish
Kevin Martin (G SAC)
52
Detroit Carpenter
Jason Richardson (G CHA)
53
New Jersey Castro
Ricky Davis (G MIN)
54
Golden State Buser
Ron Artest (F SAC)
55
Atlanta Alexander
Corey Maggette (F LAC)
56
Boston Gawron
Josh Howard (F DAL)
57
Dallas Trout
David West (F NO)
58
New York Lawrence
Lamar Odom (F LAL)
59
Charlotte Gleason
Rudy Gay (G MEM)
60
Philadelphia Wayland
Danny Granger (F IND)

Roy's injury worries me. I love Howard's upside. Odom's injuries worry me. I love Gay and Granger's upside.


Round 6
61
Philadelphia Wayland
Leandro Barbosa (G PHO)
62
Charlotte Gleason
Mo Williams (G MIL)
63
New York Lawrence
T.J. Ford (G TOR)
64
Dallas Trout
Jason Terry (G DAL)
65
Boston Gawron
Richard Hamilton (G DET)
66
Atlanta Alexander
Andrei Kirilenko (F UTA)
67
Golden State Buser
Mike Miller (F MEM)
68
New Jersey Castro
Andre Miller (G PHI)
69
Detroit Carpenter
Tyson Chandler (C NO)
70
Cleveland Dobish
Richard Jefferson (F NJ)
71
Miami Gonzalez
Mike Bibby (G SAC)
72
Seattle Whitling
Marvin Williams (F ATL)

Barbosa and Mo are underrated -- good picks. I think that's early for Terry, given what Coach Johnson has said about his backcourt this preseason. Rip was a "safe" pick for me. I like Richard Jefferson there, and Marvin has nice upside.


Round 7
73
Seattle Whitling
Brad Miller (C SAC)
74
Miami Gonzalez
Jamal Crawford (G NY)
75
Cleveland Dobish
Al Harrington (F GS)
76
Detroit Carpenter
Stephen Jackson (G GS)
77
New Jersey Castro
Manu Ginobili (G SA)
78
Golden State Buser
Rasheed Wallace (F DET)
79
Atlanta Alexander
Mike Dunleavy (G IND)
80
Boston Gawron
Monta Ellis (G GS)
81
Dallas Trout
Tayshaun Prince (F DET)
82
New York Lawrence
Nenad Krstic (C NJ)
83
Charlotte Gleason
Stephon Marbury (G NY)
84
Philadelphia Wayland
Andris Biedrins (C GS)

I wanted Manu or Wallace here but couldn't pass on Monta when my pick came up. Krstic's knee worries me. He'll probably be somewhat limited for a while. Marbury will earn his value, but he's declining.


Round 8
85
Philadelphia Wayland
Al Horford (F ATL)
86
Charlotte Gleason
Andrea Bargnani (F TOR)
87
New York Lawrence
Andres Nocioni (F CHI)
88
Dallas Trout
Samuel Dalembert (C PHI)
89
Boston Gawron
Randy Foye (G MIN)
90
Atlanta Alexander
Chris Kaman (C LAC)
91
Golden State Buser
Peja Stojakovic (G NO)
92
New Jersey Castro
Chris Wilcox (F SEA)
93
Detroit Carpenter
Nene (F DEN)
94
Cleveland Dobish
Eddy Curry (C NY)
95
Miami Gonzalez
Jamaal Tinsley (G IND)
96
Seattle Whitling
Hedo Turkoglu (F ORL)

Horford, Bargnani, and Foye are all nice upside picks here. The injury histories of Dalembert and Nene scare me.


Round 9
97
Seattle Whitling
Jameer Nelson (G ORL)
98
Miami Gonzalez
Ben Wallace (C CHI)
99
Cleveland Dobish
Tim Thomas (F LAC)
100
Detroit Carpenter
Andrew Bynum (C LAL)
101
New Jersey Castro
David Lee (F NY)
102
Golden State Buser
Zydrunas Ilgauskas (C CLE)
103
Atlanta Alexander
Corey Brewer (F MIN)
104
Boston Gawron
Luke Walton (F LAL)
105
Dallas Trout
Tyrus Thomas (F CHI)
106
New York Lawrence
Luke Ridnour (G SEA)
107
Charlotte Gleason
Boris Diaw (F PHO)
108
Philadelphia Wayland
Drew Gooden (F CLE)

We'll have to see how Nelson does in the slow, half-court offense. Wallace is declining. That's early for Bynum, but he's a center. Lee is so solid. Ilgauskas could score more this season. Walton was a "safe" pick for me at this point. Ridnour is inconsistent with the Watson timeshare. Diaw and Gooden should both improve upon their 06-07 seasons.


Round 10
109
Philadelphia Wayland
Luis Scola (F HOU)
110
Charlotte Gleason
Darko Milicic (F MEM)
111
New York Lawrence
Charlie Bell (G MIL)
112
Dallas Trout
Steve Francis (G HOU)
113
Boston Gawron
Raja Bell (G PHO)
114
Atlanta Alexander
Rajon Rondo (G BOS)
115
Golden State Buser
Troy Murphy (C IND)
116
New Jersey Castro
Al Thornton (F LAC)
117
Detroit Carpenter
Jarrett Jack (G POR)
118
Cleveland Dobish
Ruben Patterson (F LAC)
119
Miami Gonzalez
Zaza Pachulia (C ATL)
120
Seattle Whitling
Anthony Parker (G TOR)

Scola should have a good year. I still don't trust Darko. Bell was yet another "safe" pick for me. Rondo needs to shoot and score better for this scoring system. Jack's in a timeshare. Patterson has to battle Al Thornton and Tim Thomas for minutes. Zaza is toast.


Round 11
121
Seattle Whitling
Delonte West (G SEA)
122
Miami Gonzalez
Jeff Green (F SEA)
123
Cleveland Dobish
Larry Hughes (G CLE)
124
Detroit Carpenter
Channing Frye (F POR)
125
New Jersey Castro
Josh Childress (G ATL)
126
Golden State Buser
Walter Herrmann (F CHA)
127
Atlanta Alexander
Acie Law (G ATL)
128
Boston Gawron
Shane Battier (F HOU)
129
Dallas Trout
Devin Harris (G DAL)
130
New York Lawrence
Wally Szczerbiak (F SEA)
131
Charlotte Gleason
Charlie Villanueva (F MIL)
132
Philadelphia Wayland
Kyle Korver (F PHI)

The Sonics are sort of hard to peg right now, so be careful when drafting them. I wouldn't touch Hughes at ths point in his career. I like those Hawks, Childress and Law. Even with Morrison out, Herrmann is a big unknown. Again, I went "safe" with Battier. Villanueva is in too much of a minutes battle.


Round 12
133
Philadelphia Wayland
Juan Carlos Navarro (G MEM)
134
Charlotte Gleason
Elton Brand (F LAC)
135
New York Lawrence
Matt Barnes (F GS)
136
Dallas Trout
Kenyon Martin (F DEN)
137
Boston Gawron
Udonis Haslem (F MIA)
138
Atlanta Alexander
Nick Collison (C SEA)
139
Golden State Buser
Quentin Richardson (F NY)
140
New Jersey Castro
Paul Millsap (F UTA)
141
Detroit Carpenter
Jason Maxiell (F DET)
142
Cleveland Dobish
Ryan Gomes (F MIN)
143
Miami Gonzalez
Mark Blount (C MIN)
144
Seattle Whitling
Chris Webber (C DET)

That's about right for Brand. I consider Kenyon a waste at this point. I should have taken Collison to have a decent third center. Haslem will be solid for me, though. You can't trust Q-Rich, with his injury history. Millsap and Maxiell are nice, but they might not get enough minutes. Blount could actually do well when Shaq goes down. Where O where is Webber these days?


Round 13
145
Seattle Whitling
Hakim Warrick (F MEM)
146
Miami Gonzalez
Sam Cassell (G LAC)
147
Cleveland Dobish
Grant Hill (G PHO)
148
Detroit Carpenter
Cuttino Mobley (G LAC)
149
New Jersey Castro
Craig Smith (F MIN)
150
Golden State Buser
Morris Peterson (G NO)
151
Atlanta Alexander
Jerry Stackhouse (F DAL)
152
Boston Gawron
Mike Conley (G MEM)
153
Dallas Trout
Kwame Brown (C LAL)
154
New York Lawrence
Mickael Pietrus (F GS)
155
Charlotte Gleason
Ike Diogu (F IND)
156
Philadelphia Wayland
Jose Calderon (G TOR)

Cassell and Hill -- old and injured -- not a good combo. I took enough "safe" picks earlier that I could gamble on Conley here. There's just not much left at thi point of the draft.


Round 14
157
Philadelphia Wayland
Andray Blatche (F WAS)
158
Charlotte Gleason
Gerald Green (G MIN)
159
New York Lawrence
Mike James (G HOU)
160
Dallas Trout
Joakim Noah (F CHI)
161
Boston Gawron
Chucky Atkins (G DEN)
162
Atlanta Alexander
Rafer Alston (G HOU)
163
Golden State Buser
Ronnie Brewer (G UTA)
164
New Jersey Castro
Travis Outlaw (F POR)
165
Detroit Carpenter
Matt Carroll (G CHA)
166
Cleveland Dobish
Rashad McCants (G MIN)
167
Miami Gonzalez
Jorge Garbajosa (F TOR)
168
Seattle Whitling
Bobby Simmons (F MIL)

Atkins actually has a chance of being ecent in that Denver offense. I thought about Alston, but it's SO crowded in that Houston Backcourt. Brewer has had a great preseason and won that Utah shooting guard job. I like the Garbajosa pick, too.


Round 15
169
Seattle Whitling
Desmond Mason (F MIL)
170
Miami Gonzalez
Jianlian Yi (F MIL)
171
Cleveland Dobish
Dorell Wright (F MIA)
172
Detroit Carpenter
Martell Webster (G POR)
173
New Jersey Castro
Louis Williams (G PHI)
174
Golden State Buser
Jason Kapono (F TOR)
175
Atlanta Alexander
Stromile Swift (C MEM)
176
Boston Gawron
Brevin Knight (G LAC)
177
Dallas Trout
Marcus Williams (G NJ)
178
New York Lawrence
Jamaal Magloire (C NJ)
179
Charlotte Gleason
Rodney Stuckey (G DET)
180
Philadelphia Wayland
Jason Williams (G MIA)

I'm not happy about that Milwaukee forward logjam, so I would avoid those players. Dorell Wright lost his value with Ricky Davis in town. Knight's assists are nice in this league, but Magloire probably would have been better for me as my third center. Jason Williams is nice here if he can stay healthy and hold off Smush Parker.


Round 16
181
Philadelphia Wayland
Kelenna Azubuike (F GS)
182
Charlotte Gleason
DeShawn Stevenson (G WAS)
183
New York Lawrence
Anderson Varejao (C CLE)
184
Dallas Trout
Chris Duhon (G CHI)
185
Boston Gawron
Kendrick Perkins (C BOS)
186
Atlanta Alexander
Earl Watson (G SEA)
187
Golden State Buser
Willie Green (G PHI)
188
New Jersey Castro
Brendan Haywood (C WAS)
189
Detroit Carpenter
J.R. Smith (G DEN)
190
Cleveland Dobish
Daniel Gibson (G CLE)
191
Miami Gonzalez
Brandan Wright (F GS)
192
Seattle Whitling
Trevor Ariza (F ORL)

There's just nothin left here. Well, Stevenson actually isn't too bad at this point. I desperately wanted a third center at this point. I let Haywood go, figuring Blatche would just play the Etan Thomas role this year, limiting Big Brendan to basically what he did last year, which isn't much. Perkins was just about the only alternative. I figure he can get some junk points and boards off of misses and dump-offs from the Big Three.


Round 17
193
Seattle Whitling
Francisco Garcia (F SAC)
194
Miami Gonzalez
Earl Boykins (G MIL)
195
Cleveland Dobish
Theo Ratliff (C MIN)
196
Detroit Carpenter
Hilton Armstrong (F NO)
197
New Jersey Castro
Robert Swift (C SEA)
198
Golden State Buser
Antonio McDyess (F DET)
199
Atlanta Alexander
Kenny Thomas (F SAC)
200
Boston Gawron
Derek Fisher (G LAL)
201
Dallas Trout
Shareef Abdur-Rahim (F SAC)
202
New York Lawrence
Nate Robinson (G NY)
203
Charlotte Gleason
Marco Belinelli (G GS)
204
Philadelphia Wayland
Amir Johnson (F DET)

Fisher was just about the last player that was pretty much guaranteed 30 minutes per game. He'll be my first cut when I pick up a free agent.

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Wednesday, August 29, 2007

My SportsIllustrated.com Experts League team

The fifth annual SI.com Experts League drafted on Aug. 21 with 12 owners fighting it out for the title. I, Dave Gawron, represent SportsBuff.com in this league. Here are links to the actual draft -- pick by pick & team by team.

I had the twelfth pick out of twelve teams. Looking at the 2007 scene, it was wise for me to walk away with two running backs after the first two picks...

1. Cedric Benson, RB, CHI
2. Lawrence Maroney, RB, NE


I really wanted Willie Parker or Rudi Johnson here. Benson and Maroney are in great team situations, but neither is proven. I'll cross my fingers. I let Travis Henry go because if Jay Cutler struggles, his production could suffer. Maurice-Jones Drew still has Fred Taylor to contend with and also a shaky quarterback situation. I don't trust Brandon Jacobs with Reuben Droughns around.

3. Andre Johnson, WR, HOU
4. Antonio Gates, TE, SD

Gates is a beast at his position. I was totally happy to get him here. Johnson was one of the last of what I consider the "safe stud" WRs available. I picked him over T.J. Houshmanzadeh and Lee Evans, but any of those would do. Concerning Javon Walker, I'm not sold on Jay Cutler yet. I wanted a top WR, so I let rookie RB Adrian Peterson and veteran Jamal Lewis go here.

5. Marion Barber, RB, DAL
6. Jerious Norwood, RB, ATL

They're time-share RBs, but so are the other RBs available here. The new coaching situation in Dallas clouds the RB situation, but Barber should at least be a worthwhile FLEX and RB bye fill in. Norwood should take over for Dunn at some point and should do well with no Vick around to steal rushing yards from the RBs.

7. Mark Clayton, WR, BAL
8. Tony Romo, QB, DAL

I wanted Vince Young here, but Romo will do as a lead QB. I wanted a relatively safe WR, and Clayton fits the bill. Santonio Holmes was another reasonable option, but I like the #1 WR on the Ravens over the #2 on the Steelers.

9. Drew Bennett, WR, STL
10. Brandon Jones, WR, TEN

The WR pool was really thinning out, so I grabbed two of the best left. I just missed out on Devery Henderson, who I really like this year.

11. Jake Delhomme, QB, CAR
12. Mushin Muhammad, WR, CHI

Neither pick is inspiring, bu QBs were thinning out and I wanted a good platoon partner for Romo. I also like having a vet WR around for my WR5, and Mush is still #1 on the Bears, so he was a good choice.

13. Dolphins, D/ST, MIA
14. Matt Schaub, QB, HOU

I love getting the Dolphins defense down here. They should be one of the elite defenses, and I like the rookie Ginn returning kicks. Schaub is a terrific fantasy QB3. He'll fill in fine in case of injury.

15. Michael Pittman, RB, TB
16. Stephen Gostkowski, K, NE
17. Panthers, D/ST, CAR
18. Eagles, D/ST, PHI

There was really nobody left at this point. I love getting Gostkowski as my kicker. I figured I should get another RB. Pittman should get enough touches to score some points each week, with Alstott down for the count. Tampa Bay has a phenominally easy schedule against really weak run defenses. CAR and PHI will likely be my first drops when free agency begins, but taking them allowed me to keep them away from other teams.

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Monday, August 27, 2007

Fantasy Football draft tips and advice

It's that time of year... fantasy football draft time. I have some advice to pass along, so here it goes...

RUNNINGBACKS (RB)

Your first round pick needs to be a runningback, regardless of draft slot. If you draft in slots 1-5, your second pick may be a wide receiver if the runningbacks are looking weak. Otherwise, consider a second runningback in Round 2. If you play with a FLEX, consider a third in rounds 3 and 4 if there's a decent one available. Otherwise, wait until about rounds 7 or 8 to nab somebody like Marion Barber or Jerius Norwood.

Other RB notes: beware the fragility of Maroney - take Parker or Rudi first... don't underestimate Westbrook and Reggie Bush in PPR leagues... avoid clouded situations like Jones/Bell in DET and White/Brown in TEN...

TIGHT ENDS (TE)

If you can grab Gates in rounds 3 or 4, do it. He's so much better than the rest. I don't like Winslow's fragility or Gonzalez' advanced age. Vernon Davis is good to grab in Round 7 for his upside. Cooley is good there, too.

WIDE RECEIVERS (WR)

In non-PPR leagues, WRs should be low priority. In PPR, see if you can grab a stud or two in rounds 3 or 4. If you wait, look into Calvin Johnson and Santonio Holmes. Later, think Drew Bennett for good value in that STL offense.

QUARTERBACKS (QB)

Yes, the top 5 quarterbacks outscore the rest, but with QBs, platooning is a viable option. In one league I waited, and I ended up with Romo, Delhomme, and Schaub (who I LOVE late). I'll pick the best one to start each week and their overall production as a unit shouldn't be that far behind the top 5.

DEFENSES/SPECIAL TEAMS (D/ST)

This is not a position to worry about. You can definitely wait and still get good ones. Plus a unit or two will surprise during the season, so keep a close eye on D/ST free agents in your league in weeks 1 and 2. I've noticed good defenses like DEN, CAR, and DAL going late.

KICKERS

A dime a dozen. You can absolutely get good ones late. I like Gostkowski a lot this year.

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Wednesday, March 21, 2007

CBS Sportsline Fantasy Baseball "FLEX" Experts League

This will be my third year participating in the CBS Sportsline Fantasy Baseball "FLEX" Experts League. It's a super shallow mixed head to head points league that devalues steals and saves while boosting the value of power hitters (extra base hits, run production, good BB/K) and durable staff aces (W, IP, K).

Here's the link to the article on CBS Sportsline, which will be kept up to date throughout the draft:

http://www.sportsline.com/mlb/fantasy/story/10072176

Be sure to check the message board all the way at the bottom, where the participants discuss their picks.

Here's what we've done thus far:

Round 1
1Sporting NewsAlbert Pujols (1B STL)
2FantasyLandtheBook.com Johan Santana (SP MIN)
3ESPNTravis Hafner (DH CLE)
4Mock Draft CentralChase Utley (2B PHI)
5Creative SportsJose B. Reyes (SS NYM)
6HEATER MagazineDavid Ortiz (DH BOS)
7Fantasy AuctioneerAlex Rodriguez (3B NYY)
8Elias SportsCarlos Beltran (OF NYM)
9RotoWorldRyan Howard (1B PHI)
10CBS SportsLineMiguel M. Cabrera (3B FLA)
11HeadtoHead.comAlfonso Soriano (OF CHC)
12RotoPassMark Teixeira (1B TEX)
Round 2
13RotoPassChris Carpenter (SP STL)
14HeadtoHead.comDavid Wright (3B NYM)
15CBS SportsLineLance Berkman (1B HOU)
16RotoWorldDerek Jeter (SS NYY)
17Elias SportsGarrett Atkins (3B COL)
18Fantasy AuctioneerVladimir Guerrero (OF ANA)
19HEATER MagazineAramis Ramirez (3B CHC)
20Creative SportsGrady Sizemore (OF CLE)
21Mock Draft CentralJimmy Rollins (SS PHI)
22ESPNCarlos N. Lee (OF HOU)
23FantasyLandtheBook.comManny Ramirez (OF BOS)
24Sporting NewsMatt Holliday (OF COL)
Round 3
25Sporting NewsVernon Wells (OF TOR)
26FantasyLandtheBook.comDerrek Lee (1B CHC)
27ESPNBobby Abreu (OF NYY)
28Mock Draft CentralBrandon Webb (SP ARI)
29Creative SportsJake Peavy (SP SD)
30HEATER MagazineCarl Crawford (OF TB)
31Fantasy AuctioneerMiguel Tejada (SS BAL)
32Elias SportsHanley Ramirez (SS FLA)
33RotoWorldRoy Oswalt (SP HOU)
34CBS SportsLineAndruw Jones (OF ATL)
35HeadtoHead.comMichael Young (SS TEX)
36RotoPassJoe Mauer (C MIN)
Round 4
37RotoPassRafael Furcal (SS LA)
38HeadtoHead.comJustin Morneau (1B MIN)
39CBS SportsLineJason Bay (OF PIT)
40RotoWorldHideki Matsui (OF NYY)
41Elias SportsVictor J. Martinez (C CLE)
42Fantasy AuctioneerIchiro Suzuki (OF SEA)
43HEATER Magazine
44Creative Sports
45Mock Draft Central
46ESPN
47FantasyLandtheBook.com
48Sporting News

Monday, October 23, 2006

Pro Fantasy Sports Fantasy Basketball Experts Draft

ProFantasySports.com recently conducted an expert mock draft with various experts from fantasyland’s basketball division. The mock draft features 14 teams (we go deep for you) and is based on a head-to-head style format using Yahoo as the league host. The starting lineup is PG, SG, G, SF, PF, F, C, C with four bench spots. Everyone’s commentary on their picks is provided below, except for Chris Mannix who chose to shroud his thinking in secrecy. It will forever remain a mystery why he chose to make LeBron James the first overall selection …

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Chris Cates – 2nd pick
TalentedMrRoto.com

SF/PF Kevin Garnett – No explanation needed here. With the second pick I was just taking who wasn’t taken first between LeBron and KG.

PG Mike Bibby – A point guard who gets tons of assists, hits threes and gets steals –imagine that. Best PG available and I wasn’t waiting until my next back-to-back.

PG/SG Kirk Hinrich – Another point guard who fits the above mold, but this one is also SG-eligible, meaning I don’t have to draft a starter at shooting guard. Sign me up.

PG Rafer Alston – Notice a trend? I’m a big Alston fan, and he gives great production in the three categories I’ve been talking about: assists, threes, steals.

G/F Eddie Jones – The only pick I regret making. There was superior talent on the board but I drafted Jones (I like him, just not this early) to build on my threes and steals. I only planned on taking one SG/SF as a starter, and this was it.

PF Drew Gooden – Great shooting percentage, good boards and decent points. I think he’s more consistent this year and improves on last year’s numbers.

C Nazr Mohammed – I really expect Nazr to flourish in Detroit this season. He’s starting, he’ll get good minutes, and well, I needed a center.

F/C Kwame Brown – I like the upside and you guessed it, I needed another center.

SF/PF Danny Granger – Upside, thy name is Danny Granger. I think Granger is great value in the ninth round of a 14-team league. He showed flashes of brilliance last year and he contributes across the board. If he gets the 30 minutes a game he deserves, this pick is gold.

PG Smush Parker – Best PG available and I wanted one on the bench. He’ll help a lot in steals and threes when he’s in my lineup.

SG J.R. Smith – Very underrated going in to this year. He’s got the talent, all he needs is the minutes – and he’ll get them this year. Very high ceiling.

SF/PF Hakim Warrick – No Pau Gasol means much more Hakim Warrick, and that alone warrants this pick.
Best pick – Granger. I love Danny Granger. He’ll get his minutes and he’ll be starting before too long. He will contribute across the board and if he gets the minutes, this becomes an absolute steal.

Worst pick – Jones. There were better options and Jones shouldn’t have been taken this early. Yeah he helps me in threes and steals, but I probably could have gotten him a lot later.

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Matt Satten – 3rd pick
Senior Basketball Editor, ProFantasySports.com

SF/PF Shawn Marion – With LeBron and KG off the board, this was a no-brainer. Marion always gets his without plays being called for him, has position versatility and has no injury history. It doesn’t get any better than the Suns’ offense either.

SF/PF Lamar Odom – I wanted another all-around big man with positional versatility and Odom easily fits that bill. Every year he plays in the triangle, the better he’s going to become. 20, 10, 5, 1 and 1 are a distinct possibility from the point forward.

PG/SG Joe Johnson – With head to head leagues, versatility is a key trait in order to match up with your opponents. JJ is still improving, is never injured, and looks good as a PG or SG who shoots threes.

C Shaquille O'Neal – This was the defining pick in my draft. In a 14-team league, the ranks thin pretty quickly and I was looking for an impact player, preferably a top center. Since I want to build on strengths to dominate categories – with an eye to landing Sammy D on the short swing back – I made the bold move to lock up Shaq and FG%, blocks and rebounds (in the weeks he plays), and will select some PGs in my next set of picks.

C Samuel Dalembert – Combined with my top four, I should own blocks, rebounds, FG%, putting me in the enviable position to make deals with my strengths. I pray this is the year the Haitian Sensation leads the L in boards and blocks.

PG Deron Williams – He finished the season on a strong note after a rough beginning. Taken ahead of Paul, Williams has something to prove and has a surprisingly strong offense around him to load up on assists and shoot wide-open threes.

SG Manu Ginobili – I’d be reaching for a PG here, so I fill a starting slot with a guy capable of winning the Finals MVP award. The Spurs offense should be a bit more up-tempo this year and Manu will thrive. Again, health is a concern.

PG Speedy Claxton – He’ll be back for the start of the year and is a great value pick this late. Now that he has his first starting gig all to himself and plenty of athletes to feed on the break, Speedy should finally have his breakout season.

PG Damon Stoudamire – Let me make this clear: Memphis is going to be absolutely terrible until Gasol returns. Mighty Mouse is about the only sure thing and will be relied on heavily to create offense.

PF Stromile Swift – I notice I’m short on PFs and there’s a good chance Swift could qualify at center soon too. With Gasol gone, he has no choice but to produce, right? Right??? Dear God, what have I done?

SG Kevin Martin – It’s time for some sleepers and I’ve been pressing my luck by sitting on Martin for three rounds now. When he starts, and he will start, he’s very effective and efficient in his shooting. Bench players that earn starting roles the following year make for excellent sleeper picks.

C Brendan Haywood – With only two Cs on my roster, I went for the best shot-blocking, starting center. In retrospect, I should have taken an F/C who blocks shots.

Best pick – I’m tempted to say Shaq at 54 overall, because when he plays, it’s like having a top 20 player, but the real answer is Deron Williams. He’s going to make major strides this season as the unquestioned starter from the opening tip, especially with the weapons he has surrounding him.

Worst pick – While I like Speedy, I could have nabbed his teammate SF/PF Marvin Williams and gotten Claxton on the way back five picks later instead of Stoudamire if I wanted. Given that Speedy is already injured, it doesn’t bode well that he’ll make it through the season in one piece.

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James Quintong – 4th pick
Senior Producer, SI.com


SG Kobe Bryant: A slam-dunk pick here with the league’s top scorer who can also provide decent stats in the other categories as well. A safe selection and an easy one at this point.

PG Chauncey Billups – I’m continuing to pile up the points here, but also getting a huge boost in assists from Billups, who seems to be getting better every year.

PF Dwight Howard – With the backcourt pretty much shored up, I was happy to see the ever-improving Howard help anchor the power forward position, although he’ll be even more valuable if he plays some center.

SF Richard Jefferson – He’s not necessarily dominant in any offensive category, and probably won’t with Vince Carter around, but he puts up enough big stats to complement the rest of my team.

G/F Andre Iguodala – I’ve got plenty of scorers already, but could use someone who can help with rebounds and steals, and that’s where Iguodala comes in. Plus, he’s very flexible for my lineup since he’s eligible at a handful of positions.

F/C Darko Milicic – He’s probably a major reach in the sixth round, although with 14 teams, the talent pool can thin out quickly, especially at center. Lots of big men were taken between my picks, leaving me with Darko. With that said, his performance after joining Orlando bodes well for this season. And it’s possible, I can flip him and Howard in and out of the power forward/center positions.

PG/SG Ben Gordon – I guess I’m continuing to pile up big-time scorers, which is what Gordon does, even in limited minutes.

C Jamaal Magloire – Filling out the frontcourt with two centers forces me to reach for players like Magloire, the former All-Star who will be fighting for playing time with Joel Przybilla. When he’s on his game, he can be a solid scorer and rebounder, but the lack of guaranteed playing time makes him a risk.

SF/PF Shareef Abdur-Rahim – Remember when he was a fantasy stud for bad teams? Now he’s on a pretty good Sacramento team and now his numbers have fallen off. He’s battling Kenny Thomas for the starting job, and if he gets it, he’ll be a great late-round pick.

C Primoz Brezec – Again, trying to fill out the two center spots and get a little depth, which is why Brezec has value here. He can be a decent scorer, although I’ll have to rely on Howard and maybe Milicic to beef up the rebounds and blocks. He’s useful enough, though, to be a second center.

G/F Stephen Jackson – The return of Al Harrington limits his numbers, although I was surprised to see him last this long – his recent run-in notwithstanding. I’ll be fine stashing him away on the bench for now.

PG/SG J.J. Redick – All of a sudden, I’m going to have to turn into an Orlando fan with three Magic players on the team. We all know what Redick can do as a scorer from his days at Duke, and he’ll be useful in that role in the pros.

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Dennis Velasco – 5th pick
DroppingDimes.com


PF Dirk Nowitzki – How do you go wrong with picking Nowitzki? He gets a lot of points, boards, triples, and excellent percentages. The only drawback is knowing that he’s a fan of The Hoff, but I can get over that as long as he stays healthy and produces.

SF Rashard Lewis – While Ray Allen is like a heavy downpour raining jumpers and treys from all over the court, Lewis is like a steady rainfall. Another 20-point season isn’t out of the question, so bring the galoshes.

G/F Gerald Wallace – This is my Scarlett Johansson pick – still growing in their respective game, gets props for their performance, and you know that they’re just going to get better. Plus, in fantasy hoops circles, Wallace is a sexy pick… any chance I can draft Johansson? No? Guess that’s the wrong type of fantasy.

PG Raymond Felton – Felton came on strong at the end of the season and should get enough burn even with Brevin Knight still on the roster. The potential for something like 18/8 each night could not be passed over! This is probably my best pick in the whole draft.

G/F Morris Peterson – Laugh all you want, Satten, but you know what they say down in Tennessee and Texas – “He who laughs last… shame on you… if fooled, you can’t get fooled again.” Umm, yeah.

F/C Pau Gasol – This is my cavalry pick. Hopefully, by the time he gets back my team’s scalp isn’t chopped off. This is my worst pick because I will get absolutely nothing for about two or three months.

F/C Channing Frye – Frye is a great talent and has a lot of potential, which should be tapped a little more now that he should be getting more consistent minutes on the floor under Isiah Thomas. Of course, this is assuming Renaldo Balkman doesn’t take away Frye’s job… okay, YES, Frye has nothing to worry about. So, I had to give Balkman some love and put his pic up above because it’ll never happen with the Knicks.

G/F Wally Szczerbiak – Ohmigod!!! Where’s my kewpie doll?!?!?! I just spelled Szczerbiak’s name without looking it up… ohmigod, I just did it again!!! WOO HOO!!! Dang, I’m good! And so is Wally. No, seriously.

C Alonzo Mourning – All the centers I thought would fall into my lap didn’t. So, since I wanted to get a center that would produce at least in the blocks category, I had to go with Zo here. Full disclosure: At this point, I had to leave to do another draft (FIGHT CLUB!!!), but felt fairly strong in my queued up picks.

PG Antonio Daniels – I would much rather have Daniels’ BFF, Tim Duncan, but obviously he went rounds and rounds ago. But, since I needed a backup point guard, I had to go with Daniels and hope with a season under his belt, he’s feeling comfortable with the offense and can drop some dimes to Gilbert Arenas, Antawn Jamison, and Caron Butler.

G/F Marquis Daniels – There are no morals or ethics in fantasy sports, just results. This pick and the pick before me, Stephen Jackson, is proof of that. Daniels may get a chance to play a little more with charges filed against Jackson, who could miss an indefinite amount of games… oh wait, there are no morals or ethics in real sports either!

PG/SG Charlie Bell – This pick was made because I think he has a chance to rush for over 1,000 yards. Especially with that offensive line. However, I don’t like the fact that he fumbles at least nine times a game. What, wrong Bell? Oops, sorry. How about double-digit scoring the last two months of the season? That’s enticing for a bench guy, right? He’s the Midwestern version of Leandro Barbosa.

There you have it, the boys I’ll be going to war with. I’m not totally happy about it, but at least I didn’t pull a Zeke and did something like draft Chris Taft with my fifth overall pick. I’ll keep you all updated on how the thrashing is going in this league as the season goes along.

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Paul Forrester – 6th pick
SI.com Editor


PG Gilbert Arenas – Just about the right spot for one of thge elite multi-categoryproducers in the league. His self-made Olympics snub should make for amonster season.

PG Jason Kidd – Was tempted to go big, but the temptation to pair Kidd's assists,threes and steal with Arenas was too strong to deny.

G/F Josh Smith – Upside, upside, upside. Really counting on those blocks, too,with big men becoming scarcer by the pick at this point.

PF David West – Quietly solid power forward who will rebound and shoot better than 50 percent, which should help offset the misses from Arenas and Kidd.

G/F Josh Howard – Read something that he was going to be a point forward thisseason, which should make the multi-category helper even more valuable. A glue guy.

C Joel Przybilla – Needed someone who might block a few shots. Here's to hopinghe finds the touch that made him a rich man a year ago.

F/C Chris Wilcox – Best guy left on the board -- in my opinion. A beats on theboards and a solid shooter.

SG Raja Bell – Centers are a crapshoot at this point, so why not go with a guywho will help score, hit three and get some steals? And if he wants to takeout Kobe Bryant again, who am i to complain?

C Rasho Nesterovic – Had to fill the last center spot with someone; why notroll the dice on the Raptors' new starter?

PF Kenyon Martin – A risk physically and mentally, but if he's motivated, youhave to like his work in the paint.

C Robert Swift – A prospecting pick, Swift has the goods to be a shot-blockingspecialist and he should get plenty of time in Seattle.

PG Jose Calderon – Hear that, T.J. Ford? That's the sound of vultures circlingover your every step.


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Jed Berger – 7th pick
Dime Magazine


First off, my draft strategy. I want solid players who won't kill me in anycategory. I don't care if I like the player or enjoy watching him play, Ijust care that he puts up the stat categories for which I draft him. I alsolike players who I know what I'm going to get. Of course I like projectingstats and picking sleepers as much as anyone, but there is a time and placefor that and it isn't with my first group of picks.

F/C Tim Duncan – With the 7th pick in the draft, I went with Duncan. And I actually took some heat for it. My decision came down to Wade, Brand, and Duncan. This isn't a keeper league and Duncan qualifies at center. As much as I love Wade, hedoesn't hit threes, and as I mentioned, this isn't a keeper league. If Brand qualified at center I probably would have drafted him, but he was only a PF. I know Duncan's stats have pretty consistently declined, but he's well rested, feels healthy, and is far and away the most balanced center in this game.

G/F Vince Carter – Honestly, he was the best player available. As long as he stays healthy, I get threes, major points, and some boards from the guard position. Vincealso averages over a steal a game. As I said before, I like knowing what I'm going to get and with Vince, as long as he's healthy (and he's been relatively healthy three straight seasons), you're getting great production.

SF Ron Artest – I'm a category guy and we know for a fact that Artest helps at a tough category – steals. Best case, the pre-suspension Ron shows up. That Ron was on his way to the best fantasy year of his life, even shooting it well from the charity stripe. Granted that was only about 7 games, but we all know Artest has that ability. Worst case? Artest gets me 2 steals a game, 18 points, over a three a game, almost a block a game, and the only place where he doesn't help me at all is percentages, where he doesn't shoot poorly enough to hurt me.

PG Jason Terry – If you have the right expectations for J.T., they Terry is a phenomenal fantasy player. He gives you good numbers at a ton of categories. Points, threes, steals, assists, FG%, and FT%. If you're drafting him as your point guard and relying on him for assists, you're screwed. He is part of the solution but he isn't the solution and I'm psyched to get him in the 4th round.

PG Tony Parker – I need assists in a bad way with most of the big assist guys gone. I also need a second center. I'm deciding between Tony Parker and Tyson Chandler. It's a tough call, and I'm not sure I made the right choice. Time will tell. I just don't 100 percent trust Chandler yet. I go with Parker who helps at the assists category, but isn't the final answer. I'm hoping he ups his assist numbers a little bit to 7, gets back to hitting a little more threes (he's dropped from 82 threes, to 62, to 43, to only 11 last year), and he continues scoring at an absurdly high FG%. Last year, Parker averaged an absurd 55% from the field.

F/C Nenad Krstic – This wasn't my strongest pick. Yes, Krstic is on the way up, yes he qualifies at forward and center, and yes he puts some points on the board. My squad is full of scorers though and what I needed was a shot blocker or rebounder at the five spot. Still, Krstic is a quality player and has legit value.

C Eddy Curry – Possibly a make-up pick for my last round pick. With Curry, Duncan, and Krstic I have legit flexibility at the power forward and center positions depending on my needs throughout the season. I still believe in Curry's abilities and think he'll become a better shot blocker and rebounder over time.

G/F Ricky Davis – I was fired up to get Ricky Buckets here. Ricky not only doesn't hurt you anywhere, but he's a huge plus in field goal percentage. I think I have enough to win field goal percentage and points, and give a run in steals and threes. Now I just can't lose any other categories.

PF Antonio McDyess – My steal pick of the draft. Nope, not kidding. Did you watch McDyess towards the end of last season? He was catching oops, blocking shots, and doing most of the things he was doing pre-knee injury but now with a face up jump shot. I know he doesn't have the explosiveness he used to have, but with Wallaceout of town, McDyess will play 25+ minutes a night and I'm expecting big block and board numbers.

PG/SG Delonte West – I'm a Celtics fan, so I figured why not. Delonte had significant value for a lot of last year and I still think he's the point guard on that team. I need a place to find some cheap numbers and West gives me that with threes, assists, and percentages.

PF Kenny Thomas – For a few weeks last season, Kenny Thomas was a guaranteed double-double. The problem is those were the same week that Shareef was sipping through a straw. If Thomas gets burn, he puts up great fantasy numbers for a powerforward.

SF/PF Tim Thomas – Threes at the forward spot are hard to come by, so Tim Thomas does have some value if he's dropping two to three triples a game. The Clippers are crowded though so we'll have to see.

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Steve “Dr. A” Alexander – 8th pick
Rotoworld.com

PG/SG Dwyane Wade – I was very happy to see Wade sitting there at No. 8. The hand injury concerns me slightly, but he usually plays through nagging injuries and even hit a trey in the preseason game I was watching while drafting.

F/C Mehmet Okur – I've been hyping Okur for awhile now so I put my money where my mouth was. I wish he blocked more shots, but with a 14-team league, I thought he would be gone when it was my turn in Round 3.

SF Carmelo Anthony – Anthony was great last year and I watched him in every FIBA WC game this summer. His confidence level is at an all-time high and I am looking for him to have a huge year.

SF/PF Antawn Jamison – I was surprised to see Jamison sitting there this late and for some reason, he's fallen in both industry drafts I've participated in thus far. I don't know why he's slipping, but I feel like with Wade, Okur, Melo and Jamison I've got a solid foundation. And Wade qualifies at PG in this league.

C Tyson Chandler – I kinda panicked and felt like I needed blocks, and I did. Chandler should be good for 10 pts, 10 boards and 2 blocks this year and was the best shot-blocking center left on the board in my opinion.

PG Andre Miller – I felt like I needed a point guard and he was the best available. His lack of threes always has him available late in drafts, but he's a solid fantasy point guard overall.

SF/PF Al Harrington – This was a computer auto-pick after I dumped a coke on my keyboard and missed three picks. Not sure how I did that, but I had Harrington in my queue with a few other players and that's who I got. I could have used another center or PG here, but I'm OK with Baby Al.

PG Brevin Knight – Another auto-pick, but I couldn't be happier with it. He's too good not to play and I needed assists. And yes, I know Raymond Felton is there, but Knight almost has to see 28 mpg.

PG Derek Fisher – Point guard problems solved. Fisher is a great sleeper pick this season and could even start at either guard spot in his new home in Utah.

F/C Theo Ratliff – I needed another center who could block shots. That is the definition of Theo and he appears to be healthy this year. If he starts over Kendrick Perkins in Boston, it's a bonus.

PG Earl Watson – I made it back to the draft for this one. I think he might start at point guard and I really feel like I got some nice PGs and Cs late in this draft. We'll see.

SF/PF Donyell Marshall – He's in fantastic shape and says he'll play more of an inside-outside game this year instead of just lingering around the 3-point line. In my opinion, was easily the best player available at this point and could be the steal of the draft.

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Rodd Polsky – 9th pick
PFS Writer

Pre-Draft Strategy: Heading into a 14-team Expert draft, my biggest concern was my position in the draft. I was much relieved to be drafting later in the first round, primarily due to position scarcity, namely the Center position. After all, with two Center slots, that means 28 total Centers will be chosen, at a minimum. And, because there are no utility positions, I knew there would be other positions available throughout the draft, but big men would dry up rather quickly.

F/C Chris Bosh – With the 9th pick, I quickly feel the pressure to take stat monster Andrei Kirilenko, but I stick to my strategy and take Bosh. I consider Yao Ming, but I’m hoping he somehow slips to 20.

F/C Jermaine O’Neal – Well, Yao goes 4 picks before mine, and Amare Stoudemire gets selected at 19. I felt the best center available was Jermaine O’Neal, and interestingly enough, my pick is followed up immediately by Mehmet Okur! Let the panic begin.

G/F Michael Redd – With a couple of big men locked up, I decided to go for some shooting with my next two picks. Michael Redd is the cornerstone of the Milwaukee offense and offers points, 3PM, and excellent percentages.

SF Peja Stojakovic – I was more than happy to select Peja here – more scoring, good percentages, 3PM, and a handful of rebounds. A nice complement to my big lineup.

G/F Corey Maggette – Ugh. I pulled the trigger too soon on a fringe player like Maggette. I have to hope that he gets 30+ minutes a night.

PG Sam Cassell – I needed a PG, and Cassell represented one of the better ones available. If I’m punting assists, I might as well get a PG that can score and make 3PM.

SF/PF Adam Morrison – I needed a PF, and rather than take a chance on a Marvin Williams or Kwame Brown, I decided to go with Morrison. The ‘stache is just too intriguing to pass up.

SG Larry Hughes – I can certainly understand Hughes dropping this far, but somebody on the Cavs roster has to step up. This is a speculative value pick, and a steal if he plays 70+ games.

G/F Hedo Turkoglu – Turkoglu offers enough potential that I would not mind putting him into the lineup in hopes of getting some points, rebounds, and 3PM. Good value for such a low pick.

SF Grant Hill – Another speculative value pick, and if Grant Hill lasts 60+ games, another steal.

G/F Josh Childress – Josh Childress showed a deft scoring touch last year, and if he can earn his 30 minutes a night, he will turn from fantasy mold into fantasy gold.

SF Jarvis Hayes – Jarvis Hayes has a chance to play 30 minutes a night in an offensive-oriented Washington lineup. With the big three getting most of the defensive attention, the 6-8 swingman has the potential for some nice fantasy numbers.

Best Picks – Bosh and Jermaine O’Neal with my first two picks helped cement my strategy. I wavered on selecting Yao Ming with my first pick, but felt that Bosh simply gets more playing time, allowing for more stats. I do not have to worry about filling my Center slots, and can now focus on guards and forwards.

Worst Pick – Corey Maggette in the fifth round. He is slated as a middle round pick, but I probably could have picked him two rounds later. His potential is very nice, but the Clippers signed Tim Thomas to a nice contract, so the minutes might not be there.

Sleeper Pick – Morrison, Hughes, Hill, and even Jarvis Hayes are all unknown elements. Hayes has the least expectations, so he would be my true sleeper, but I would not be surprised if one of the other three players has an impact fantasy season.

Overall – I’m happy with they way my draft went. In a Head to Head league, punting a category is not as catastrophic when compared to a rotisserie league. Remember, the goal here is to win 5 of 9 categories. I am not even going to bother competing in assists, but I have the versatility and depth to secure at least five categories in any given week.

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Dave Gawron – 10th pick
RotoCommando.com

PF Elton Brand – Got to the draft late, Yahoo picked this one. I was happy with it, though. It's nice getting 2.5 blocks per game in your pocket right off the bat.

F/C Amare Stoudemire – Yahoo picked this one, too. Not happy about it. I don't trust his injury recovery, plus I would have rather taken a top point guard like Kidd here to balance out brand.

PG Jameer Nelson – Stoudemire made me "reach" in the third round for the top remaining point guard for my purposes, providing some steals and threes.

C Chris Kaman – Here's another solid shot blocker that should improve upon his breakout ‘05-‘06 season.

SF Andres Nocioni – Yahoo requires one SF and one SG to be drafted, though I normally don't bother with the positions. Nocioni is the type of player that helps across the board – just the type I want when forced to draft a SF.

PG/SG B. Roy – Roy was the top SG-eligible in my opinion. I generally shy away from rooks, but I think Roy can do something special this year, and he'll give me some point guard type stats from the SG position.

PG Mo Williams – Can't have too many point guards, and Mo is another that provides steals and threes. I don't care if he splits time, I just need those stats, and he'll provide.

PG Jason Williams – Here's another steals and threes point guard that I can stash on my bench until he's healthy.

F/C Nene Hilario – Nene will serve as my third forward. He'll get 30 minutes per game with Camby and Martin around and more when they get hurt.

F/C Kendrick Perkins – Perkins can rotate in when he has four-game weeks, providing good blocks.

G/F Martell Webster – Martell is upside bench fodder. Who knows, maybe Roy will need time to get accustomed to the NBA, and Webster will start out strong.

SG Jamal Crawford – Shooting guard is the one position where I felt I should take a chance on a player that could really nail threes for me. Crawford could do just that.

Best Pick – Maurice and Jason Williams in Rounds 7 and 8 are two solid point guards who should certainly provide a good return on investment with picks No. 103 and 122.

Worst Pick – Well, I wasn't fond of Yahoo giving me Stoudemire in the second. I would have rather come away with Kidd and Villanueva than Amare and Jameer Nelson. Otherwise, I was happy with my picks.

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Mike Lynch – 11th pick
PFS Writer

SF/PF Andrei Kirilenko – Thought about a player like Paul Pierce here, but why grab an inferior LeBron when you can draft Inspector Gadget? AK-47 is a true freak and I'm more than willing to assume the injury risks for a guy who will definitely be a top 4 player if healthy.

G/F Tracy McGrady – The 18th overall pick doesn't seem like a bad place to grab the most talented player in the league. A guy who can shut down Dirk and Kobe and score, dish, and swish effortlessly. With Yao hurting again, T-Mac could explode this season. Last year was an aberration where everything went wrong for him personally and professionally. I better hope he can come back strong. If he does the dividends are obviously enormous.

PG Baron Davis – Wow. I'm developing a pattern – another extreme risk! In a league with 14 teams, I found it necessary to take some gambles. If he lasts through the year, he'll put up first round numbers in Nellie's system. However, that ‘if’ looms larger than Adonal Foyle's contract.

PG Stephon Marbury – I figured that this pick ought to lock up assists. I love Jameer, but I can't believe he goes before Baron and Steph here. Marbury clashed with Larry Brown, but Brown acted like an ass last year. Marbury is the only player in NBA history with career averages of 20 ppg and 8 apg. And Isiah loves him just the way he is. Less of a risk than Baron, but less upside as well since Baron could potentially lead the league in steals and threes.

PF Troy Murphy – I'm banking on him gaining center eligibility, which should happen since Nellie plans on starting Dunleavy at the 4 and Murph at the five. Murphy is a guaranteed 10 rebounds and will hit some threes – a poor man's Dirk in some ways. Except Murph will be the one eligible at the 5 this year. Plus, he's a lefty.

PF Zach Randolph – This pick made me want to violently heave. I’m a sucker for upside and a sucker for lefties, though. A lefty with Zach's upside? Forget about it. Essentially, I couldn’t pass up a guy that gets 20 and 10 in his sleep who also plays on a talentless team. Z-Bo is a huge risk and doesn't get blocks or steals, but I needed more size here and wasn't ready to gamble on a middling center.

G/F Mike Miller – I like this pick a lot more than my previous couple. Somebody is going to have to step up in Memphis and Miller is the best candidate. Eddie Jones is essentially finished as a day-in and day-out offensive threat. I look for Miller, Stoudamire, and Gay to lead the Grizz in scoring early.

PG Shammond Williams – OK, so here is the point in the draft where I got kicked out of the Yahoo Java Applet. Consequently, the remainder of my picks are guys I had placed in my queue as potential 12th round picks. Williams might hit a lot of threes if given playing time. But obviously should probably not be picked in any drafts whatsoever.

PG/SG Ronnie Brewer – Brewer is a very talented player, whose shot is iffy, but plays exceptional D. He's good enough to be an immediate factor in Utah, but Sloan prefers to bring rookies along slowly.

SF/PF Rudy Gay – This could actually be a nice pick. Memphis needs players to step up in Gasol's absence. Gay can do it all. He is not an exceptional passer, but he can block shots and score from anywhere on the floor.

PG/SG Dajuan Wagner – Shouldn't be drafted until he asserts a role on this team, but he has been impressive in camp. This guy is unstoppable if he's given permission to have no conscience on the floor.

SF/PF Gerald Green – Arguably the most talented player on the Celtics. Yes, that includes Paul Pierce. Unfortunately, minutes are far from guaranteed for him. Fortunately, he's most likely one Wally Szczerbiak injury away from a larger role.

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Tom Kessenich – 12th pick
Fantasy Sports Magazine

G/F Paul Pierce – Pierce is rock solid, has no durability issues and contributes across the board. He’s an underrated fantasy star who is a good anchor for my team.

PG Allen Iverson – I was hoping to get Yao or Paul here but I have no problems with AI. The FG% is a killer but Iverson can score in bunches and he should be a reliable option for assists and steals as well.

C Marcus Camby – He is a major durability risk but he was playing at an All-Star level when healthy last season. He’s a strong source for defensive production.

F/C Carlos Boozer – Another injury risk but worth the gamble in the fourth round. This is a guy who can put up 15-20 points per game and 10 rebounds a night. If he manages to stay healthy he’ll be a steal.

PF Chris Webber – His game is on the decline but it’s difficult to argue with his fantasy production. He averages 20 and 10 and a handful of assists per game. That’s pretty sweet for a PF.

PG T.J. Ford – A tremendous young talent whose game is on the rise. Away from the inept coaching of Terry Stotts and teamed with Chris Bosh, Ford is going to have a breakout season.

G/F Bobby Simmons – Quietly has become one of the best 3-point shooters in the league. Consistency is an issue but he’ll score around 15 points per game and I expect his rebounds to improve this season.

F/C Zaza Pachulia – Nothing flashy about this guy but he was the best No. 2 center on the board so I’ll take him. The lack of blocks is a concern but he was a decent source for steals last season.

PF Vladimir Radmanovic – A one-trick pony but in fantasy that one trick (3-point shooting) is a source of value. He should see plenty of open jumpers this season while on the court with Kobe.

SG Cuttino Mobley – Solid scorer who can be used during the season in case injury strikes. This isn’t a bad spot for him in an Experts draft.

F/C Dan Gadzuric – I don’t really like this guy as a player because he’s so horrible offensively and not a physical defender. But he’ll start at center for the Bucks while Bogut is out which gives him some value here.

PG Devin Harris – A big-time talent who may be a year or two away from being a major fantasy contributor. But the last pick in the draft is all about upside and Harris has plenty of that.

Best Pick – Webber in the fifth. He’s not a superstar by any means but getting 20-10-4 in the fifth round is outstanding value.

Worst Pick – Gadzuric was the best center on the board in the 11th round but he’s easily the worst player on my team. He simply isn’t very good but it was hard to pass on an early season starter at that spot in the draft.

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John Baker – 13th pick
PFS Writer


C Yao Ming – He scores, he boards, and he blocks shots. It’s nice to get one of the NBA's top two centers down the board at 13. I love his potential if new Reebok fixes his toe problem.

PG Steve Nash – Nash annually averages 10 assists and shoots for a high percentage. He scores when he wants to. Some say Arenas has passed him by – I don't buy it for a minute. Nash is the standard by which they are all measured.

F/C Ben Wallace – I add the league's best rebounder to help Yao in the middle. Though offensively a non-factor, he will continue to be the chairman of the boards in Chicago. I couldn't pass him up as inside guys were my priority.

SF/PF Charlie Villanueva – Perhaps a bit of a reach here, but I fully believe Charlie V. will flourish next to C Andrew Bogut. Versatility at both forward spots was also attractive here. Kid can board and score inside and out.

SG Richard Hamilton – I loved snagging Rip near the 70th spot. Still a very good player, Hamilton has worked hard on his lower body this offseason to keep his jump shot humming. He has a game that's hard to appreciate sometimes.

F/C Andrew Bogut – I love the versatility of the young Australian. The news that the Bucks will use him as a point-center just adds to that excitement. He will fill the points, rebounds and assist columns.

SG Bonzi Wells – A risk-reward pick here. Wells could start or be Houston's sixth man, but when given major minutes, he produces Barkley-type performances, racking up points and boards by the bushel.

SG Freddie Jones – Jones is a physical dynamo who was miscast in a tepid Indiana offense. The Raptors are gearing up to run which fits Jones' MO perfectly. Whether starting or coming off the bench, he'll produce Bonzi-like numbers.

PF Udonis Haslem – The ultimate garbage player, I was thrilled to get this rebounding machine so late. Again, he'll help with rebounds and steals, which is just fine.

PG Sebastian Telfair – A superior talent who is still young, Boston acquired him for a reason. He may not start early on, but he'll get long minutes to help his growth. Telfair is a quality depth pickup this late.

PG Shaun Livingston – Last time I looked, he was a pretty productive player for a playoff-caliber team. I couldn't resist nabbing this young talent, even with two other PGs on the team. He's got too much game to be drafted this late.

SF Darius Miles – One of the Blazers problem children, Miles offers statistical versatility. When he's right, he can put up points, rebounds, steals and assists in a hurry. If he's happy and dialed in, this is a steal in the 12th round.

Analysis: I was trying hard to go for versatility – guys who would probably get two position designations. I really like my three point guards and getting Nash and Yao, arguably the two best players at their positions, in the first two rounds. I think this team, though perhaps lacking some star power, has a nice blend of overall talent and statistic-specific guys. I really got excited to snag Bonzi and Jones back-to-back.

The Reach: Taking Charlie Villanueva two rounds before Andrew Bogut doesn't make a lot of sense to me now. At the time I was thinking "forward" at all costs, but probably could have made a better pick at that spot. I think Villanueva will have a very good year, but choosing him ahead of Bogut, I’m not sure that was prudent.

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Jordan Brenner – 14th pick
ESPN the Magazine

SG Ray Allen – I’m not really down with head-to-head formats, but no matter the style of league, Ray was clearly the best player on the board at this point. He owns all the scoring categories and holds his own elsewhere. No-brainer.

PG Chris Paul – Would’ve been another no-brainer, except for some reason, we can only start three guards, yet we’ve got to play two centers. Figure that one out. So I considered Yao Ming. But then I figured that would have been giving into The Man, whoever The Man may be in this case. So, I took the best PG left. Take that, Man.

C Brad Miller – OK, so The Man wins after all. Or does he? Yeah, I took a center, but look where I got him – 21 picks after Mehmet Okur and somehow later than the esteemed Jameer Nelson. I prefer shot-blockers at center, but Miller’s an all-around fantasy stud, and at a dwindling position that requires two guys, he’s got great value at this point.

PF Rasheed Wallace – The debate got pretty nasty inside my head. Ray Felton? Peja? Richard Jefferson? Then I realized I had two guards, so Felton went bye-bye. I don’t trust Peja’s health, and I’ve got Ray Allen, so I ditched him too. So, needing a forward anyway, it came down to Rasheed vs. Richard Jefferson, with Rasheed winning based on his shot-blocking and increased board potential with Big Ben gone.

F/C Emeka Okafor – Please fall, I kept saying. Please fall. And lo and behold, he did. Keep in mind, we draft two centers in this league. Keep in mind, the likes of Samuel Dalembert and Tyson Chandler have already been taken. Keep in mind, someone even drafted Eddie Jones. And here’s Okafor, averaging a double-double with 1.8 bpg over his two-year career, just sitting there. Yeah, works for me.

SF Caron Butler – I’d spent so much time worrying about Okafor that I wasn’t really prepared for this pick. Not that it mattered. Butler, Andre Miller, Steve Francis and Manu Ginobili were probably the best players on the board at this point. But a ton of guards were left, and I knew I could get a good one later in the draft. Meanwhile, I needed a forward, and Butler is solid in a variety of categories. So, welcome aboard.

PG Steve Francis – Now come on. I know Stevie looked lost in NYC last year, but so did everyone. That doesn’t mean he should be going 98th in anyone’s draft, especially after the likes of Nazr Mohammed. The Knicks might not win with a Francis/Marbury backcourt, but Isiah won’t slow them down like LB did, meaning they’ll both get their numbers. And if Francis, a perennial fantasy stud, even approaches 75 percent of his career numbers, he’s a steal here.

G/F Luol Deng – After drafting based on the past, I looked to the future. And I love what I see out of Luol Deng. He’s only scratched the surface of his talent, and he averaged 16.3 ppg and 8.1 rpg in the second half last year. He’ll average at least a block and a steal per game this year, with solid percentages to boot. He’s either my third starting forward or great trade bait.

PG Jamal Tinsley – This is called hedging. If Francis doesn’t work out, Tinsley’s a cheap source for steals and assists, especially of the Pacers really do run more. If he’s hurt again, who cares? It’s the 125th pick!

SF Mike Dunleavy (127) – If anyone’s going to unlock Dunleavy’s potential, it’s Don Nelson. The guy invented the “point-forward” position, and that role suits Dunleavy’s skills perfectly. In theory, he could be a major source of points, threes and assists. Or, he could be Mike Dunleavy. Considering there’s no risk here, I’m willing to bet on the former.

F/C Ike Diogu – I needed a backup center, and Ike is eligible there. Plus, he’s another guy who potentially could thrive in Nellie’s small-ball system. From a risk-reward perspective, I’m thrilled.

PG Jarrett Jack – Starting point guards always have value, since assists can be so hard to find. Jack’s got plenty of talent, and now he’s got the ball in Portland. If he gives me decent PG numbers, I can package him for an upgrade up front.